● Live Data CAUTION Unstable Intelligence v0.9

USDT Risk Assessment

Stablecoin — Fragility Index v0.9 · 15-day data window

📅 Generated: 2026-07-01 01:13 UTC 🔁 Updates every 15 min 📊 15-day data window

67.6

Fragility Score / 100

🟡 CAUTION — Elevated Depeg Risk

71.3% depeg probability · 1 active alert · score 68/100

24h Delta

-10.2

7-Day High

90.4

Depeg Risk

71.3%

Active Alerts (48h)

Curve Pool Imbalance (+23.2pt): Curve.fi Strategic USD Reserves: USDC=10.3%, USDT=89.7% — USDT imbalanced +39.7pp vs expected 50.0%
Reserve Lag (+20.0pt): tether 91d stale
Defi Rates (+10.0pt): USDC borrow avg 23.6% — acute leverage demand, stress signal

Risk Signal Breakdown

Signal	Contribution	Detail
Curve Pool Imbalance Risk Signal	+23.2 pt	Curve.fi Strategic USD Reserves: USDC=10.3%, USDT=89.7% — USDT imbalanced +39.7pp vs expected 50.0%
Reserve Lag Reserve Health	+20.0 pt	tether 91d stale
Defi Rates Risk Signal	+10.0 pt	USDC borrow avg 23.6% — acute leverage demand, stress signal
News Pressure Risk Signal	+8.1 pt	2 signal(s); top: regulatory_action high from 3 source(s) (eff=3.0)
Peg Deviation Peg Stability	+4.9 pt	price=0.9985, deviation=14.9bp (discount)
Supply 7D Risk Signal	+0.8 pt	7d supply change -0.79%

15-Day Fragility Score History

Recent Alerts (48h)

🔴 FRAGILITY ALERT: USDT Score: 71/100 (threshold 65) Top signal: regulatory_action / medium — 3 source(s) (eff=3.0) USDT fragility is 70.56/100, led by Curve Pool Imbalance: Curve.fi Strategic USD Re

7.3h ago

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